能源電力規(guī)劃工程原理與應(yīng)用

目 錄
 
第1章 緒論 ·················1
 
 1.1 背景及意義 ··2
 
 1.2 國內(nèi)外能源電力及發(fā)展規(guī)劃歷程 ·············3
 
1.2.1 我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)發(fā)展的變遷與發(fā)展 ············3
 
1.2.2 國內(nèi)外能源電力規(guī)劃發(fā)展歷程及展望 ···············5
 
 1.3 新常態(tài)下我國能源電力規(guī)劃工程重大舉措 ·9
 
1.3.1 能源發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略行動(dòng)計(jì)劃（2014—2020年） ·········9
 
1.3.2 進(jìn)電能替代的方針政策 ·······················15
 
1.3.3 我國全面實(shí)施電力規(guī)劃管理辦法 ····················18
 
 1.4 新時(shí)期能源電力規(guī)劃工程面臨的形勢(shì) ·····23
 
1.4.1 能源電力發(fā)展面臨轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的新機(jī)遇 ··············23
 
1.4.2 市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下中長期規(guī)劃的新思路 ··············27
 
1.4.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程面臨的形勢(shì)及主要問題 ········30
 
第2章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程基本理論 ···················34
 
 2.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ··············35
 
2.1.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)原理模型 ···········35
 
2.1.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程要處理的八大關(guān)系 ··············37
 
2.1.3 系統(tǒng)工程理論在電力規(guī)劃工程中的應(yīng)用 ···········42
 
 2.2 能源規(guī)劃工程理論及方法論 ·················46
 
2.2.1 能源規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ·····························46
 
2.2.2 能源規(guī)劃工程的目標(biāo)及分類 ··························46
 
 
2.2.3 能源規(guī)劃工程的內(nèi)容原則 ·····························49
2.2.4 能源規(guī)劃工程的實(shí)施步驟 ·····························51
第3章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程基礎(chǔ)知識(shí) ···················54
 
 3.1 能源與新能源基礎(chǔ)知識(shí) ·······················55
3.1.1 能源電力的基本定義 ···································55
3.1.2 化石能源 ···········56
3.1.3 清潔能源 ···········58
3.2 能源電力行業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的形勢(shì)與挑戰(zhàn) ·····60
3.2.1 我國電力供需形勢(shì)分析 ································60
3.2.2 我國新能源發(fā)展與展望（2016—2020年） ········65
3.3 能源電力與綠色發(fā)展 ··························68
3.3.1 能源電力規(guī)劃與綠色發(fā)展 ·····························68
3.3.2 綠色發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展 ·····························71
3.3.3 綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)與綠色能源 ···································73
第4章 國家能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略 ······················77
 
 4.1 中國能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略面臨的新挑戰(zhàn) ··78
4.1.1 能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的基本概念 ····················78
4.1.2 國內(nèi)外能源安全“三要素”比較分析 ··············80
4.1.3 我國能源安全面臨的主要挑戰(zhàn) ·······················81
4.2 世界主要發(fā)達(dá)國家能源戰(zhàn)略的演變及趨勢(shì) ······································82
4.2.1 美國通過立法推動(dòng)能源戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型 ····················82
4.2.2 法國實(shí)施3E能源政策 ··································84
4.2.3 德國不斷進(jìn)行能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整 ··························85
4.2.4 日本通過政策設(shè)計(jì)約束能源發(fā)展 ····················86
4.2.5 英國推動(dòng)市場(chǎng)化低碳經(jīng)濟(jì) ·····························87
4.3 世界能源展望（2016—2030年） ············88
4.3.1 人口增速正在放緩，能源效率加速提高 ···········88
4.3.2 消費(fèi)增長日益依靠非化石燃料 ······················89
4.3.3 液體燃料需求增速逐步放緩 ··························90
4.4 能源戰(zhàn)略與能源安全 ··························91
4.4.1 全球能源格局與能源發(fā)展趨勢(shì) ·······················92
 
4.4.2 中國能源現(xiàn)狀及面臨的困難 ··························93
 
4.4.3 中國能源需求對(duì)策與戰(zhàn)略設(shè)計(jì) ·······················95
 
 4.5 中國的能源安全與能源戰(zhàn)略 ·················97
 
4.5.1 科學(xué)供給滿足合理的需求 ·····························97
 
4.5.2 尊重能源開發(fā)與能源消費(fèi)規(guī)律 ·······················98
 
4.5.3 我國能源安全與發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的展望 ··················101
 
第5章 能源電力規(guī)劃信息平臺(tái)與應(yīng)用 ··············104
 
 5.1 能源電力規(guī)劃信息平臺(tái)基礎(chǔ)知識(shí) ··········105
 
5.1.1 信息技術(shù)與信息科學(xué) ·································105
 
5.1.2 信息工程的基本原理 ·································107
 
5.1.3 PEST分析模型 ··108
 
5.1.4 SWOT分析模型 ·······································110
 
 5.2 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù)庫的設(shè)計(jì)方法 ··········112
 
5.2.1 規(guī)劃基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù)存在的主要問題 ·····················112
 
5.2.2 需求分析與平臺(tái)目標(biāo) ·································113
 
5.2.3 基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù)庫設(shè)計(jì)方案 ·································116
 
5.2.4 數(shù)據(jù)庫平臺(tái)的主要功能 ······························119
 
5.2.5 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù)庫實(shí)施方案 ·····················121
 
 5.3 遼寧電力規(guī)劃信息平臺(tái)實(shí)施案例 ··········122
 
5.3.1 ERP計(jì)劃管理模塊與規(guī)劃計(jì)劃系統(tǒng) ···············122
 
5.3.2 大規(guī)劃與“四大平臺(tái)”系統(tǒng)的建設(shè)與應(yīng)用 ······128
 
第6章 能源規(guī)劃工程技術(shù)與應(yīng)用 ·····················133
 
 6.1 能源規(guī)劃的基礎(chǔ)知識(shí) ·························134
 
6.1.1 能源規(guī)劃工程的基本概念 ···························134
 
6.1.2 全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)及其關(guān)鍵技術(shù) ·····················135
 
6.1.3 世界能源分布情況與發(fā)展趨勢(shì) ·····················136
 
 6.2 國家“十三五”能源規(guī)劃工程策略 ·······140
 
6.2.1 我國省級(jí)能源發(fā)展規(guī)劃管理辦法 ··················140
 
6.2.2 推進(jìn)“互聯(lián)網(wǎng) ”智慧能源發(fā)展重點(diǎn)任務(wù) ·······143
 
 
6.2.3 新常態(tài)下能源規(guī)劃工程的新挑戰(zhàn) ·················· 149
 
 6.3 遼寧省“十三五”能源發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····151
 
6.3.1 遼寧省能源工業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ··························· 151
 
6.3.2 遼寧省能源發(fā)展形勢(shì)分析 ··························· 154
 
6.3.3 能源供需總量及結(jié)構(gòu)預(yù)測(cè)分析 ····················· 155
 
6.3.4 能源發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略方針及目標(biāo) ························ 157
 
6.3.5 “十三五”能源規(guī)劃的重點(diǎn)任務(wù) ·················· 158
 
第7章 電力規(guī)劃工程技術(shù)與應(yīng)用·····················163
 
 7.1 電力規(guī)劃工程技術(shù)基礎(chǔ)知識(shí) ················164
 
7.1.1 電力系統(tǒng)規(guī)劃工程設(shè)計(jì)原理 ························ 164
 
7.1.2 優(yōu)化理論在電力規(guī)劃和需求側(cè)管理中的應(yīng)用 ··· 166
 
7.1.3 系統(tǒng)工程理論與電力規(guī)劃設(shè)計(jì)方法 ··············· 168
 
 7.2 電力規(guī)劃工程應(yīng)用技術(shù)與方法 ·············172
 
7.2.1 電力市場(chǎng)條件下的電力規(guī)劃工程 ·················· 172
 
7.2.2 電力系統(tǒng)綜合負(fù)荷預(yù)測(cè)技術(shù) ························ 175
 
7.2.3 2020年我國電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃與預(yù)測(cè) ·················· 179
 
 7.3 遼寧省“十三五”電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····180
 
7.3.1 遼寧省電力工業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境分析 ····················· 180
 
7.3.2 電源建設(shè)空間分析及規(guī)劃方案 ····················· 183
 
7.3.3 電網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃原則與實(shí)施方案 ····················· 185
 
7.3.4 “十三五”期間電力發(fā)展主要措施 ··············· 186
 
第8章 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程技術(shù)與應(yīng)用·····················187
 
 8.1 電力網(wǎng)絡(luò)規(guī)劃工程設(shè)計(jì)基本知識(shí) ··········188
 
8.1.1 電力網(wǎng)絡(luò)規(guī)劃工程設(shè)計(jì)基本方法 ·················· 188
 
8.1.2 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃分區(qū)電力負(fù)荷預(yù)測(cè)方法 ··············· 191
 
8.1.3 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程設(shè)計(jì)的基本要求 ····················· 194
 
 8.2 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工程技術(shù)規(guī)范 ·············200
 
8.2.1 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃基本規(guī)劃要求 ····················· 201
 
8.2.2 城鄉(xiāng)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃技術(shù)原則 ··························· 202
 
8.2.3 高壓配電網(wǎng) ······ 204
 
8.2.4 中壓配電網(wǎng) ······206
 
8.2.5 低壓配電網(wǎng) ······208
 
8.2.6 用戶接入 ·········209
 
8.2.7 分布式電源接入 ·······································210
 
8.2.8 配電網(wǎng)智能化 ···210
 
 8.3 遼寧省“十三五”電網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ····211
 
8.3.1 電網(wǎng)發(fā)展概況 ···211
 
8.3.2 電力需求預(yù)測(cè)分析 ····································212
 
8.3.3 能源布局和電力流 ····································212
 
8.3.4 電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃指導(dǎo)思想、總體思路和發(fā)展目標(biāo) ······213
 
8.3.5 主網(wǎng)架規(guī)劃 ······215
 
8.3.6 220千伏電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃 ·····································216
 
8.3.7 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃 ······217
 
第9章 大型電力企業(yè)規(guī)劃工程與應(yīng)用 ··············220
 
 9.1 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃理論與方法 ···················221
 
9.1.1 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的基本概念 ···························221
 
9.1.2 戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的制訂原則、方式和內(nèi)容 ···············222
 
9.1.3 制訂戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的步驟及評(píng)估方法 ··················223
 
9.1.4 企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的21步法 ······························225
 
 9.2 企業(yè)規(guī)劃管理及質(zhì)量?jī)?yōu)化方法 ·············227
 
9.2.1 大型企業(yè)集團(tuán)公司規(guī)劃管理工作辦法 ············227
 
9.2.2 編制戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃的優(yōu)化方法 ···························231
 
9.2.3 規(guī)劃企業(yè)愿景的方法論框架 ·····················234
 
 9.3 大型電力企業(yè)“十三五”發(fā)展規(guī)劃案例 ·236
 
9.3.1 企業(yè)“十三五”發(fā)展規(guī)劃編制概況 ···············236
 
9.3.2 企業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的形勢(shì)和挑戰(zhàn) ························237
 
9.3.3 “十三五”期間企業(yè)發(fā)展規(guī)劃的重點(diǎn)任務(wù) ······238
 
9.3.4 “十三五”規(guī)劃效果分析 ···························243
 
9.3.5 “十三五”規(guī)劃實(shí)施風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析 ·····················244
 
 
第10章 能源電力規(guī)劃工程項(xiàng)目管理與應(yīng)用 ·····246
 
 10.1 能源電力規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目管理基礎(chǔ)理論 ·········247
 
10.1.1 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的基本特征 ··················· 247
 
10.1.2 “階段性、時(shí)效性、持久性”總體實(shí)施策略 · 250
 
10.1.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程總體實(shí)施策略模型 ·········· 251
 
 10.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程策略與管理規(guī)范 ······254
 
10.2.1 電力規(guī)劃研究工作管理辦法 ······················ 254
 
10.2.2 電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃工程管理工作指南 ················ 258
 
10.2.3 火電、電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目規(guī)劃建設(shè)管理規(guī)定 ············· 261
 
 10.3 能源電力規(guī)劃工程項(xiàng)目管理典型案例 ···265
 
10.3.1 項(xiàng)目及項(xiàng)目管理的基本概念 ······················ 265
 
10.3.2 能源電力規(guī)劃工程的項(xiàng)目管理 ··················· 267
 
10.3.3 能源電力規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目計(jì)劃的綜合論證 ············· 268
 
10.3.4 能源電力規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目立項(xiàng)前期準(zhǔn)備 ················ 270
 
10.3.5 能源電力規(guī)劃工程過程管理 ······················ 270
 
參考文獻(xiàn) ····················273